Rangers vs. Mariners: Free MLB Picks

Rangers vs. Mariners: Free MLB Picks
ARLINGTON, TEXAS – AUGUST 12: Kyle Lewis #1 of the Seattle Mariners on a sacrifice fly scoring a run against the Texas Rangers in the second inning at Globe Life Field on August 12, 2020 in Arlington, Texas. Ronald Martinez/Getty Images/AFP

It’s the series finale for these two clubs who had much higher expectations in March and again in July and it doesn’t appear either situation will come through.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Colorado Rockies

Sunday, September 12, 2020 – 3:10 pm EDT at Coors Field

Even with an expanded playoff system for 2020, the Los Angeles Angels are all but assured of being home for the postseason yet again, making Mike Trout an Eagles fan again by October. This organization has no real direction and grabs the next shiny object in the hope it’s the right piece it needs.

Though the baseball season is not even two months old, it is easy to forget the Colorado Rockies were 12-5 and in first place on August 11. That feels about as long ago as placing bets on XFL football games back in February and March.

Intertops sportsbook has MLB odds that opened this way; the team from Anaheim at -145 with a total of 12.5.

Another Less Than Heavenly Experience in Anaheim

Before going over what has gone wrong with Angels, here is some of the good.

The idea of matching Trout and Anthony Rendon clicked once the third baseman was healthy and had enough at-bats to find his swing. Blend those two with David Fletcher and those are three rather potent spots manager Joe Maddon can use daily to fill out a lineup card.

Unfortunately. That’s where the fun stops for the Halos after trading away Tommy LaStella. It’s been apparent for years why the St. Louis Cardinals did not want to give Albert Pujols a long term deal previously. When his playing days are done, he’ll be headed to the Hall of Fame for what he accomplished as a Cardinal, not as an Angel. Now let’s add in Justin Upton and Shohei Ohtani are batting about .200 with an on-base percentage under .300 and after Trout, Rendon and Fletcher bat, that’s a lot of outs until the next time they hit again.

Kyle Seager #15 of the Seattle Mariners. Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

Rockies Facing Uphill Battle

Colorado is not in as bad a shape as the Angels are, nonetheless having lost 19 of 27 does little to inspire hope. The Rockies are one of the top-scoring teams at home, which is generally the case playing at altitude, yet they have a losing record at Coors at 10-13.

The Rocks pitchers are conceding an astonishing 7.5 runs a contest at home and while some will point to the 23 they surrendered San Francisco in one game, let’s not lose sight of the fact they have allowed 10 or more a half dozen other times at Coors.

Colorado also has too many empty plate appearances, Charlie Blackmon is having an All-Star campaign and Trevor Story is having another solid season, along with outfielder Raimel Tapia. After that, Nolan Arenado is having subpar this year. The Rockies front office mirrors the Angels in taking brand names who are longer in their prime and receiving those kinds of results. Among the guilty parties are Daniel Murphy, Matt Kemp and Chris Owings.  And we won’t discuss the Rocks offense scores 4.0 RPG on the road.

The Breakdown of the Pitching

Andrew Heaney (3-3, 4-04 ERA) of the Angels is a No. 3, No. 4 starter on most teams. Heaney has a smooth delivery but it is mostly low-90’s with the fastball and relies more on breaking pitches that really snap when he’s on his game. His 51 strikeouts in only 41 innings point to that.

The problem with any pitcher that relies on pitching that way, some days you are not going to have and without an above-average fastball, that’s how Heaney allows runs in bunches at times.

Ryan Castellani (1-2, 5.34) is learning in his rookie season. The righthander has not shown to be a strikeout hurler, at only 0.67 per inning. He’s tried to be too perfect with his pitches and walked 12 in 28 innings, yet at the same time has grooved too many in permitting nine bombs.  

Concerning the bullpens, the Rockies have a bullpen that has an ERA of close to seven, and the Halos have the worst save percentage in baseball. Kind of says it all right?

Game Prediction

For MLB picks, this really looks like a high scoring affair. As just mentioned, we have two dreadful bullpens. Next, let’s add in Heaney has 5.70 ERA on the road and Castellani ERA at his new ballyard is 8.02.

With the Angels 25-12 OVER vs. teams whose hitters strike out seven or more times per game and the Rocks 11-3 OVER at home vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season, OVER is the call.

Free MLB Picks: OVER 12.5 at Intertops (Visit our Intertops review)

Over 12.5+100

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