The Giants, Browns, Patriots, and The Football Team were among last week’s underdogs that won outright; and the New York Jets were one unnecessary blitz away from doing the same thing. Who should be looking at this week in the NFL?
Just as in the 1993 movie “Groundhog Day” the same thing keeps happening, again and again, this football season. What we are referring to is NFL football bettors placing bets and betting sites keep collecting their cash. Unfortunately, this is officially a trend in this season for bettors, but gangbusters for sportsbooks.
Like everything in life, if you keep doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result, well, you might get lucky once in a while, however, overall, that is a losing strategy, especially when it seems to be one of those years, which seems redundant to say in 2020. Instead, take a look at our trio of underdog choices for NFL picks and give others some thought and if your season is not meeting expectations. You are hardly alone and it can’t hurt since you might finish strong.
Arizona Cardinals vs. New York Giants
Sunday, December 13, 2020 – 01:00 PM EST at MetLife Stadium
Talk about two teams going in opposite directions! The Arizona Cardinals looked playoff-ready after beating Seattle at home to have a 5-2 record. Since that time, the Redbirds have reverted to their most recent past, losing three in a row and four of five to crash to 6-6. The New York Giants were only saved from being the league’s laughingstock by their New Jersey roommates, the Jets when they were 1-7. Now, nobody is laughing about the G-Men, who have won four consecutive times and just pulled off a huge upset at Seattle.
Backing Arizona on the road as a favorite when they are on an 0-5 ATS downward spiral makes about as much sense as hiring Gregg Williams as your next defensive coordinator. Backup Colt McCoy against Kyler Murray sounds like a mismatch. Yet, with the Big Blue defense holding their last four foes to 16.5 points a game and the offensive line burying defenses to the tune of 162.2 yards a contest on the ground, another upset seems possible against the NFL odds. Be certain to at least wait to try and catch a +3 with the Giants.
NFL Picks: Giants +2.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports review)
Giants +2.5 (-108)
Indianapolis Colts vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Sunday, December 13, 2020 – 04:05 PM EST at Allegiant Stadium
Rest assured; Jon Gruden’s Raiders were VERY LUCKY to escape New Jersey with a victory over the winless Jets. It should be noted that despite Derek Carr might have seen the blitz coming, he still had to throw the right kind of pass and it had to be caught and it all worked. That kept Las Vegas from dropping three straight and revived their playoff hopes. The Raiders’ task might not be any harder, but beating first-place Indianapolis won’t be simple.
To defeat the Colts as home underdogs, the offensive line has to help crank up the running game, which only had 72 yards last week. That fact the John Jacobs was out mattered, but seriously, it was the Jets, no excuses. Whether Jacobs is back or not, Carr is a better quarterback with the run game, as that sets up the play-action game so much better.
Philip Rivers is no mystery to the Silver and Black, make him hold the ball and get pressure, miscues can ensue. That’s the formula for the upset, run the ball, which opens the pass offense up and get in Rivers face as often as possible. Probably won’t see a +3 on the Raiders, but waiting cannot hurt at sports betting sites.
NFL Picks: Raiders +2.5 (-105) at Intertops (visit our Intertops review)
Raiders +2.5 (-105)
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
Monday, December 14, 2020 – 08:15 PM EST at FirstEnergy Stadium
As this article was posted, we didn’t know the results of Baltimore’s game with Dallas. What we did know is this is the Ravens’ third encounter in 12 days and that’s not easy to overcome.
Baltimore is fighting for their playoff lives after having the best record in the NFL in 2019. Much has changed for John Harbaugh’s crew, just as it has for Cleveland. The Browns are tied with the third-best record in the AFC and have won four in succession. Last week they came out and dominated Tennessee 38-7 in the first half before holding on to win by six.
As we said about Cleveland before, the Browns are still learning how to deal with success and the two different halves they played will help them going forward. Tennessee got back in the game throwing, not something Baltimore next to last passing offense is skilled at, with or with Lamar Jackson. Baltimore’s had a lot of success in Cleveland over the years at 15-6 and 14-7 ATS, but that is set to change this time around.
NFL Picks: Browns +2.5 (+102) at Heritage Sports
Browns +2.5 (+102)