Free football tips, best bets and analysis for Newcastle v Liverpool in the Premier League.
Where to watch
Amazon Prime, 8pm Wednesday
Liverpool to win & under 3.5 goals
1pt 5-4 Betway, BoyleSports
Allan Saint-Maximin and defender Jamaal Lascelles remain out with Covid-19 while goalkeeper Martin Dubravka is sidelined. Callum Wilson could make a return but the game could come too soon for Ryan Fraser.
Naby Keita is out along with Joel Matip, meaning Rhys Williams could partner Fabinho in the heart of their defence. Thiago must be assessed.
This year has been memorable for Premier League champions Liverpool but they may not go out with a bang in their final game of 2020 against Newcastle.
The Reds are a short price to prevail at St James’ Park and their form suggests they should get the job done but punters should not expect a barnstorming performance from Jurgen Klopp’s men.
Anfield has been a reliable source of points for Liverpool but they have been mediocre on their travels, winning only two of their seven away assignments in the Premier League.
Their overall performances have not been as impressive as last season with the Merseysiders having already dropped points in as many league games (six) as they did in the entire 2019-20 campaign.
Their clash with West Brom last time out epitomised their loss of ruthlessness with Sam Allardyce’s men earning a point in a 1-1 draw despite Liverpool having 79 per cent possession and 17 shots.
The Reds still look like the team to beat in England’s elite division with only one league loss this term but they have not been rolling teams over as frequently as in recent seasons, scoring more than two goals in only three of their previous 12 encounters.
With Steve Bruce having built successive survival bids around a defensive approach since his arrival as Newcastle manager in 2019, the Tyneside club should be fancied to limit the damage.
They have generally been able to keep scorelines respectable against bigger sides in the Premier League this season, holding Tottenham and Wolves to 1-1 draws, beating Everton 2-1 and losing 2-0 to Manchester City and Chelsea.
That approach has seen the Magpies averaging only 3.3 shots on target per game this season and often not making the most of the quality they have in the final third in Callum Wilson, Allan Saint-Maximin and Miguel Almiron.
Saint-Maximin will once again be missing for this contest and with Ryan Fraser still sidelined punters should not expect much from the home side going forward.
Liverpool have shipped 20 goals in 15 league games this term and were breached by a misfiring Baggies outfit on Sunday so the win to nil market is best swerved.
Instead punters should consider Liverpool to edge a game featuring three or fewer goals.
Six of Liverpool’s last eight assignments in the Premier League have seen under 3.5 goals and the chances of a low-scoring affair should increase when they lock horns with a Newcastle side who have drawn criticism from fans for their conservative approach.
Four of Liverpool’s last six league wins have featured under 3.5 goals.
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