The Montreal Canadians live to see another day following their 4-3 overtime winner against the Leafs on Thursday. The series now sits at 3-2 to the Leafs, many people didn’t expect the Canadians to take two wins, so can they push on to level the series at 3-3?
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadians
Saturday, May 29, 2021 – 7.30 PM EST at Bell Centre
The Montreal Canadians managed to stick around for another game as they won dramatically in over 4-3 to give themselves a chance of advancing into the next round. They still have a lot of work to do as they have to win two game in a row, which wont be easy, but have they given the Leafs the jitters?
The Canadians took a dramatic 3-0 lead at the start of the second period, the game looked dead and buried for the Leafs, until Jake Muzzin came up with his first double goal playoff game as he struck twice in the 3rd period to tie the game up at 3-3. The Leafs looked very strong when they went 3-3 and many felt they would get that 4th goal and put the game to bed.
Unfortunately, they couldn’t capitalize and when it went to overtime, they looked like the team that allowed the Canadians to get that three goal lead and within one minute of overtime Caulfield and Suzuki struck to give the Canadians the win. Canadians goaltender, Carey Price was on fire in the game, saving 32 shots with a 91% save rate.
*Trends should never be your main source of information when it comes to making your betting picks, they are merely guidelines and mostly irrelevant information, but nonetheless can be interesting to read.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- The total has gone under in four of Toronto’s last five games when playing on the road against Montreal.
- Toronto are 5-2 in their last seven games against Montreal.
- Toronto are 10-5 in their last 15 games against an opponent in the North Division.
- Montreal are 1-4 in their last five games at home.
- The total has gone under in six of Montreal’s last nine games against Toronto.
What Are The Betting Odds and Current Lines?
- The Toronto Maple Leafs opened up at -160 on the moneyline and are currently -165 with Intertops (visit our Intertops Review).
- The Montreal Canadians opened up at +135 on the moneyline and have jumped out to +150 at the time of writing with the best online sportsbooks.
- Interestingly the puck line opened up at -2 for the Maple Leafs at odds of +295, the NHL line has since moved into the traditional -1.5 at odds of +170. If you wish to take the Canadians at +1.5 on the puck line, they are currently best priced up at -190 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
- The over/under opened up at 5.5 with a lot of juice towards the under at -130, but money has since come in on the over and the under is now sitting in around -115, whilst the over is +105.
The way this series has gone has been either a close game or a blowout victory, with the Leafs doing all the blow outs with 5-1 and 4-0 victories. Carey Price has been the player that’s given the Canadians a chance to tie up the series to this point. One would feel the Leafs have much better fire power in front of goal and Price has to be getting a little worn down now after saving 29.4 saves per game since the series began.
The Leafs let their guard down in the last game, they should come out here full of confidence that they can get the job done and into the next round were the Winnipeg Jets await them. We like the Leafs on the moneyline a lot at NHL odds of -160 but feel their puck line is worth playing and has better value because if their firing on all cylinders, they could be up by three or four goals in the dying embers of the game. If they are only up by one, we have the added chance that the Canadians will pull their goaltender with 2+ minutes remaining.
It might be worth taking a look at Montreal’s goaltender over 28.5 saves at -120 with the best online sportsbooks, even though we think the Leafs score three or four goals here, we still see them pounding the goal with shots and expect them to hit around 32/33 shots on net.
NHL Pick: Toronto -1.5 (+170) with BetOnline
*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.